Ukraine War Update NEWS: Geopolitical News - Peace Negs, Trump Delays. Again.
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Table of Contents 📖
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:18⏩
- Jonathan welcomes viewers to an ATP Geopolitics update, focusing on peace processes and the Trump administration's approach to negotiations with Russia.
- He directs viewers to his previous video on Kingsley Wilson, a newly appointed Department of Defense Press Secretary who is notably pro-Russian and anti-Ukrainian, as crucial context for understanding the geopolitical landscape.
Donald Trump's West Point Speech and Critique of Russia
🎦 01:18-04:24⏩
- Jonathan discusses Donald Trump's controversial speech at West Point, where he stated that the US military's role is "not to hold a drag show to transform the culture of other countries or to spread democracy at gunpoint," but rather "to dominate and destroy threats to the US." Jonathan criticises this as poor form and an inappropriate political rally.
- He then shares a quote from Trump's Truth Social post, where Trump claims his relationship with Vladimir Putin was "very good" until Putin "gone absolutely crazy," "needlessly killing a lot of people," and sending "missiles and drones...into cities in Ukraine for no reason whatsoever." Trump suggests Putin "wants all of Ukraine" and predicts this will lead to "the downfall of Russia."
Trump's Ignorance of Russia's Actions
🎦 04:24-06:22⏩
- Jonathan highlights the hypocrisy in Trump's criticism of Putin, noting that Trump quickly shifted to blaming President Zelensky, asserting he was "doing his country no favours" and that the war "would never have started if I were president."
- Jonathan expresses strong frustration at Trump's apparent surprise regarding Russia's attacks on Ukrainian cities, stressing that such actions have been ongoing for three years. He questions Trump's grasp of the war's reality, suggesting a profound lack of attention and understanding.
Jonathan's Analysis of Trump's Demeanour and Ignorance
🎦 06:30-08:29⏩
- Jonathan offers a personal reflection on Trump's recent behaviour, drawing a (quickly qualified) comparison to his own father's dementia in terms of "rambling messes" and anger, noting Trump "clearly doesn't have a proper grasp on what's going on" and is "woefully ignorant."
- He finds Trump's public statements "utterly unimpressive" and expresses sadness that, if Trump isn't accessing intelligence briefings, this is the result of living in an "information bubble."
Trump's Claim of Protecting Russia and RT's Response
🎦 08:30-10:14⏩
- Jonathan analyses another Truth Social post from Trump where he claimed, "What Vladimir Putin doesn't realise is that if it weren't for me, lots of really bad things would have already happened to Russia...He's playing with fire." Jonathan interprets this as Trump "admitting that he is compromised" and effectively acting as an "agent for Russia."
- He then shares the cynical response from RT (Russian state media), which, after quoting Trump, added, "until he posts the opposite thing tomorrow morning," highlighting RT's clear understanding of Trump's inconsistent statements.
Medvedev's World War III Warning and Kellogg's Response
🎦 10:15-11:13⏩
- Jonathan reports on Dmitry Medvedev's (former Russian Prime Minister) reaction to Trump's comment, stating, "I only know of one really bad thing, World War III. I hope Trump understands this."
- Keith Kellogg responded to Medvedev, calling his comment "unfortunate, reckless" and "unfitting of a world power." Kellogg affirmed that "President Trump is working to stop this war and end the killing," and pressed Russia for the "term sheet that you promised a week ago," calling for a "ceasefire now."
Macron's Call for Sanction Deadlines and Trump's Delays
🎦 11:14-14:14⏩
- Emmanuel Macron is reported to have called for a firm deadline for Russia to agree to a ceasefire, backed by threats of "massive sanctions." Jonathan supports Macron's call for a specific date, noting the vagueness of previous attempts.
- However, Jonathan highlights that Trump has continued to delay new sanctions on Russia, claiming a peace deal "may be within reach" or "just next week." Jonathan dismisses these delays as mere "hot air" and "meaningless guff," noting Trump's empty pledges of action in "two weeks" or "a little bit later."
Jonathan's Strong Criticism of Trump's Weakness
🎦 14:16-16:17⏩
- Jonathan intensifies his criticism of Trump, calling his repeated "two weeks" delay "absolutely pathetic."
- He lambasts Trump's statement that he "cannot tell if Putin wants to end the war" and is "disappointed at what happened a couple of nights now where people were killed," pointing out Trump's profound ignorance regarding the war's consistent three-year duration of civilian casualties.
- Jonathan concludes that Trump is "absolutely useless," "weak and useless and pathetic," and a "weakling on the international stage."
Russian Duma Deputy Admits Purpose of War is Rejection of "Russian World"
🎦 16:18-17:06⏩
- Jonathan notes that US intelligence reports indicate Putin remains confident in Russia's ultimate victory in Ukraine and that his objectives have not changed since the war began. He suggests Trump ignores this, prioritising Putin's narrative.
- He highlights a striking admission from Russian Duma deputy Borodai, who explicitly stated that Russia is "brutally killing Ukrainians for rejecting the...Russian vision of the future...and the Russian world, not for alleged Nazism or Donbas defence." Jonathan interprets this as an "admission of genocide."
Putin's Escalating Demands for Peace
🎦 17:07-18:16⏩
- Jonathan details Putin's escalating demands for a peace agreement: a written pledge from Western leaders to halt NATO's eastward expansion, Ukraine's neutrality, lifted sanctions, a resolution regarding frozen Russian sovereign assets, and protection for Russian speakers.
- He observes that Putin's demands are increasing with each passing week, noting the re-inclusion of the frozen assets demand. Jonathan satirises this by suggesting Russia will soon demand "the moon shoved on a stick and given to us as a lollipop."
Zelensky on US Refusal to Support Withdrawal from Occupied Regions
🎦 18:16-18:51⏩
- Jonathan shares the positive news that President Zelensky has stated he does not believe the US would support a full Ukrainian withdrawal from four partially occupied regions.
- He remarks that this stance represents the "absolute bare minimum" of expected support and should not be seen as a significant achievement.
Russia's Delays in Peace Memorandum and Blaming Ukraine
🎦 18:53-21:28⏩
- Jonathan reports that Dmitry Peskov (Kremlin spokesperson) believes a meeting between Putin and Zelensky is possible but requires "specific agreements," stating a "Russian draft memorandum on Ukraine is at its final stages." Maria Zakharova (Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman) echoed this, promising a draft on a future peace treaty and ceasefire would be sent to Kyiv.
- Jonathan expresses strong sarcasm at Russia's continuous delays, likening their drafting process to "hamsters working in a cage and a couple of monkeys on typewriters," suggesting the memorandum is perpetually "a couple of years" away. He asserts that Russia is deliberately stringing the US along, knowing any eventual draft will contain impossible "red lines."
- He highlights Zakharova's absurd claim that Zelensky is "trying to shift the blame of the prolongation of the conflict onto Russia," which Jonathan vehemently refutes, pointing out Russia's role as the invader and perpetrator of atrocities.
Ukraine's Position vs. Russia's Shifting Conditions
🎦 21:30-21:57⏩
- Jonathan quotes Anton Herashchenko, who reminds viewers that Ukraine has consistently agreed to an unconditional ceasefire, whereas Russia repeatedly introduces more and more new conditions.
- He speculates on what these Russian conditions in their memorandum might include: "root causes of the conflict, Russia's control over four regions of Ukraine, stopping at Western military aid, dearmament of Ukraine."
US Blocking Russian Oil Price Cap Tightening
🎦 21:58-22:52⏩
- Jonathan reveals that the G7's proposal to tighten the Russian oil price cap was blocked by the US, with Treasury Secretary Scott Besant reportedly refusing support. He condemns this as "disgusting" and indicative of the Trump administration's efforts to "support Russia."
- He further notes that US and EU coordination on countering Russia's sanctions evasion has "collapsed," according to a German foreign ministry report, with 80% of circumvention cases linked to China and Hong Kong, and the US doing "the square root of NAF all about it," calling it "an absolute disgrace."
Bipartisan US Senate Bill for Russia Sanctions Awaiting Trump's Approval
🎦 22:53-26:49⏩
- Jonathan discusses a potential avenue for action against Russia: a bipartisan bill in the US Senate, with 82 co-sponsors (Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal), indicating growing frustration with Trump's inaction.
- The bill proposes direct and secondary sanctions, including a "500% tariff on imports from countries buying Russian oil, gas and uranium," primarily targeting China, whose support is deemed crucial to Putin's war machine.
- However, Jonathan highlights the critical obstacle: Republicans are "waiting for a green light from Donald Trump," with Senate GOP leader John Thune stating they "won't move without him." Despite impatience from some senators, the bill remains stalled, reinforcing Jonathan's view that Trump's pledges of action are simply continuous delays.
Final Critique of Donald Trump's Inaction and Weakness
🎦 26:49-27:07⏩
- Jonathan concludes with a scathing critique of Donald Trump, labelling him "an absolute frickin disgrace" and "the disgracer in chief," for his perceived inaction and constant delays regarding Russia.
- He describes Trump as "weak sauce" and challenges the notion of him as a strongman, asserting he is "strong against weakness, but he is weak against strength," which Jonathan deems "pathetic."
Wrap up
🎦 27:08-27:12⏩
- Jonathan signs off, inviting viewers to share their thoughts.
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