Ukraine Conflict: 5-Day Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Really, they are struggling a lot in the Krakov area and the Likhanov-Silk area."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:18⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a 5-day Ukraine War Frontline update for 23/02/2025 noting there is a lot to get through.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Overview
🎦 00:18-00:48⏩
Jonathan provides an overview of the current situation:
- The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) report that Russian forces have made advances in 5 areas: Kupyansk, Chesivyar-Pokrovsk, Krakov and Kursk but that Ukrainian forces are pushing back in some areas.
- Russian forces continue to deploy wounded and medically unfit soldiers to the front line to address personnel shortages.
Kursk Oblast - Overview (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 00:48-01:19⏩
Jonathan uses the Surovikin map (pro-Russian) to illustrate Russian advances to the west and east in Kursk Oblast. He explains that red pins indicate previous Russian defensive lines.
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Kursk Oblast - Overview (Andrew Perpetua Maps)
🎦 01:19-01:49⏩
Jonathan switches to Andrew Perpetua's maps (pro-Ukraine) showing minimal changes over the 5 day period apart from small movements around the Likovo area, with Russian forces taking control of the settlement.
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Kursk Oblast - Analysis
🎦 01:49-02:05⏩
Jonathan notes that the Russian advances in the Kursk Oblast are worrying as this is a common tactic employed when Russian forces push forward in other areas.
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Kharkiv - Vovchansk (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 02:05-02:32⏩
Jonathan reviews the Surovikin map, observing what appear to be slight gains for Russian forces in the Vovchansk area, but notes that there may be some glitches on the map as this is not reflected in other sources.
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Kursk Oblast - Chukassi-Konopjelka (Greyskull)
🎦 02:32-03:04⏩
Jonathan notes a report from Greyskull (pro-Ukraine) that Ukrainian forces have made gains yesterday in the Chukassi-Konopjelka region of Kursk Oblast.
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Kursk Oblast - Chukassi-Konopjelka (Analysis)
🎦 03:04-03:36⏩
Jonathan observes that there are conflicting reports for the same area with Ukrainian sources claiming Ukrainian advances and Russian MOD/Surovikin maps suggesting Russian advances. He advises viewers to treat the Russian claims with caution.
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Northeastern Sector - Topoli (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 03:36-04:09⏩
Jonathan highlights gains by Russian forces across the Oskil River near the border, at a place called Topoli, according to Surovikin maps. He expresses concern that this could become problematic given the Russian advances around Dvorichny and the marginal gains made by Russian forces up to the river. He notes that Andrew Perpetua's maps have not yet been updated to reflect these movements.
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Northeastern Sector - Topoli (ISW)
🎦 04:09-04:44⏩
Jonathan notes that ISW reports gains in the Kupyansk direction. An unconfirmed Russian source claims that Russian troops seized Topoli on 22/02/2025. Geolocated footage posted on 02/02/2025 indicates Russian forces advanced to Centralna Street in central Topoli.
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Kupyansk - South of Pistchani (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 04:44-05:13⏩
Jonathan, using Surovikin maps, highlights gains made by Russian forces south of Pistchani, south and east of Viljana, and east of Petropavlivka.
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Kupyansk - Krulhi Kiv (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 05:13-05:41⏩
Jonathan observes what could be either marginal gains by Ukrainian forces or mapping adjustments in the Krulhi Kiv area.
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Kupyansk - South of Krulhi Kiv (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 05:41-06:15⏩
Jonathan points out further Russian gains further south of Krulhi Kiv, with Russian forces taking a couple more fields. He then moves on to the area south of Mekivka, Balko-Zhuravka and Terni-Torska area where Russian forces appear to have made decent gains. According to Surovikin maps, Russian forces have taken control of Novoselivske.
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Kupyansk - Novoselivske (Analysis)
🎦 06:15-06:39⏩
Jonathan notes that if the capture of Novoselivske is confirmed, this would not be good news for Ukraine, but suggests that the area does not have much intrinsic value. He states that he would prefer it if Russian forces expended their resources in this area rather than elsewhere.
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Chesivyar - South of Ivanivska (Andrew Perpetua Maps)
🎦 06:39-07:14⏩
Jonathan notes that Andrew Perpetua's maps are catching up with Surovikin maps and show Russian gains in the fields south of Ivanivska, along the T0504 highway as they move towards Kostyantynivka approaching Stepochky. He confirms that there are no changes in the centre of Chesivyar, but that Russian forces are making gains north of it around Ryarivka.
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Chesivyar - Analysis
🎦 07:14-08:01⏩
Jonathan speculates that Russian forces are less concerned about capturing Chesivyar and are prioritising their advance along the highway to Kostyantynivka, because Chesivyar itself is just a buffer zone for Kostyantynivka. He explains that Kostyantynivka is part of a semi-circle of settlements that Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian forces back towards Leonidivka.
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Leonidivka (Greyskull/Surovikin Maps)
🎦 08:01-09:03⏩
Jonathan refers to pro-Ukrainian channels reporting that Ukrainian forces have counterattacked in the Novoselivske area and entered Leonidivka. There are significant differences between the Greyskull and Surovikin maps for this area.
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Prokofiev (Surovikin/Andrew Perpetua Maps)
🎦 09:03-09:27⏩
Jonathan describes how Ukrainian forces have either pushed Russian forces back or there have been mapping updates along the Prokofiev front. He notes that both mappers show that Russian forces had previously been in control of a junction with geolocated evidence, after pushing up, being repelled and then attacking again. However, it appears that Russian forces have now lost the junction.
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Prokofiev (Andrew Perpetua Maps)
🎦 09:27-09:43⏩
Jonathan points out that Andrew Perpetua's map shows Russian forces have gained ground around Prokofiev, more in line with the Surovikin maps. However, he highlights further conflicting information with Surovikin maps showing Ukrainian forces pushing Russian forces south in Sukhyi Potik whilst Andrew Perpetua's maps show the opposite.
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Lysivka (Surovikin/Andrew Perpetua Maps)
🎦 09:43-10:11⏩
Jonathan describes more conflicting information between the two maps, with Surovikin maps showing Russian advances into Lysivka and Andrew Perpetua showing Ukrainian advances to the east.
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Kotlyna (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 10:11-10:23⏩
Jonathan uses the Surovikin maps to highlight that Russian forces appear to have pushed back into Kotlyna, retaking control of the settlement. He speculates that it is probably a grey zone.
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South of Nyzhne (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 10:23-11:27⏩
Jonathan reports on considerable Russian movement south of Nyzhne, on the way down to Krasnohorivka, taking a whole series of fields. They have also been successful in the village of Stepove (Zaporizhia Oblast). He highlights that this area has seen a lot of Russian success over the last week or so. Further south east, the Russians are claiming that Andriivka is now mainly under their control. This, he explains, is a major success for the Russians as it was a logistical hub for Ukrainian forces. The capture of Andriivka fills in the gaps for Russian forces around Krasnohorivka. He speculates how far Russian forces will push and notes that they are also having success pushing in the Velyka Novosilka area, pushing Ukrainian forces further west and north.
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Krasnohorivka - Velyka Novosilka (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 11:27-12:08⏩
Jonathan observes that Russian forces have been making successful advances in the Krasnohorivka area, moving successfully in this sector.
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Lysivka (Astri Intel)
🎦 12:08-12:37⏩
Jonathan notes a report from Astri Intel that Russian forces have been pushed out of Lysivka. He suggests that this contradicts information previously provided and that in reality, the settlement is now back under Ukrainian control.
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Lysivka (Analysis)
🎦 12:37-13:11⏩
Jonathan suggests that if Lysivka is now back under Ukrainian control this would make more sense of the other data. However, he concludes that Ukrainian forces are really struggling in the Krasnohorivka and Lyman-Siversk areas.
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East of Kamyanka (Surovikin Maps)
🎦 13:11-13:33⏩
Jonathan highlights small gains by Russian forces just to the east of Kamyanka, at Piatykhatky, with further small gains in the area of Chervone and Piatykhatky.
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Siversk - Potential Russian offensive (Analysis)
🎦 13:33-13:38⏩
Jonathan discusses rumours circulating amongst Russian milbloggers that Russian forces could make an attack across a river in the Siversk area. He dismisses these, suggesting that this would be suicidal and is likely to be psyops.
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Wrap Up
🎦 13:38-14:45⏩
Jonathan thanks his viewers, reminding them about the Jigga's Paw fundraiser and provides details of how to donate. He reminds viewers to use the correct reference for the fundraiser.
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